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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+1.27vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+1.35vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81-0.71vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.58+0.09vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.19vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.03-2.65vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.58-2.93vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.64-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Christopher Newport University0.850.3%1st Place
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3.35Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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2.29Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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4.09William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.19American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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3.35Virginia Tech-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.74Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 35.0% | 29.0% | 18.2% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 13.8% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 22.6% | 16.3% | 6.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 32.3% | 30.5% | 20.6% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 27.4% | 16.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 18.5% | 47.7% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 13.8% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 22.6% | 16.3% | 6.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 7.9% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 24.0% | 18.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 85.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.