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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.89vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+2.59vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.52+5.91vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.90-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+6.25vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.19+0.69vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+2.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.64vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.86+2.87vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.26-1.93vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.48-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.33+2.62vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.87-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.46-5.15vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.64-5.85vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-1.80-2.93vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89North Carolina State University1.1220.0%1st Place
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4.59Jacksonville University0.8412.8%1st Place
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8.91Christopher Newport University-0.523.6%1st Place
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3.97University of South Florida0.9018.7%1st Place
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11.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.212.6%1st Place
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6.69The Citadel0.197.0%1st Place
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9.85Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.5%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Los Angeles0.5211.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Florida-0.861.7%1st Place
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8.07University of Michigan-0.265.1%1st Place
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9.34North Carolina State University-0.483.4%1st Place
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14.62University of Central Florida-2.330.3%1st Place
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10.77Embry-Riddle University-0.872.1%1st Place
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8.85University of North Carolina-0.463.7%1st Place
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9.15Boston University-0.643.8%1st Place
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13.07University of South Carolina-1.800.8%1st Place
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12.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 20.0% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 12.8% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 18.7% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Mullray | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Brendan Connelly | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Moring | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 9.0% |
| Jack Hammett | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Mrazek | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 41.8% |
| Alexander Chidester | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| May Proctor | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Josh Sultanik | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.