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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.67vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.61+0.04vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.40+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.14+0.30vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.54-1.44vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.14-0.58vs Predicted
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7American University-4.01-0.32vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.07-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
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2.04Hampton University0.610.4%1st Place
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3.31William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
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3.56Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.42Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.68American University-4.010.0%1st Place
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2.67Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 24.8% | 25.8% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 41.6% | 29.0% | 18.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 13.2% | 17.3% | 24.1% | 22.8% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 32.4% | 19.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 11.1% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 24.3% | 19.9% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 52.2% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 10.8% | 82.3% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 24.8% | 25.8% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.