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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+1.09vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+0.68vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.40+0.31vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.54-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.14-0.70vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.14-0.56vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.07-4.32vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Hampton University0.610.4%1st Place
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2.68Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
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3.31William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.48Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.44Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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2.68Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
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6.69American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 41.9% | 26.8% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 23.0% | 27.1% | 22.9% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 13.5% | 18.0% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 16.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 13.2% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 8.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 31.2% | 19.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 52.0% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 23.0% | 27.1% | 22.9% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 11.2% | 82.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.