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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.40+2.29vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.54+1.50vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.61-0.93vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.07-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.06-0.75vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.07-3.25vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-1.55vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.5Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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2.07Hampton University0.610.4%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
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4.25University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
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5.45Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.7American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Stillman | 15.5% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 11.7% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 7.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 39.4% | 30.4% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 24.1% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 31.3% | 17.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 24.1% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 53.7% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 4.1% | 11.4% | 82.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.