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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.70vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.54+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.06+1.19vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.40-0.64vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.61-2.88vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.07-3.30vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-1.55vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
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3.48Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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3.36William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.12Hampton University0.610.4%1st Place
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2.7Virginia Tech0.070.2%1st Place
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5.45Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.7American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 24.5% | 25.4% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 11.7% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 8.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 32.7% | 16.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 13.8% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 22.9% | 18.9% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 39.8% | 27.3% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 24.5% | 25.4% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 53.8% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 11.5% | 82.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.