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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+0.89vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.40+1.00vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.08+1.00vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.54-0.76vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.14+0.31vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.08-2.00vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.06-3.10vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Hampton University0.610.5%1st Place
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3.0William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.0Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.24Christopher Newport University-0.540.2%1st Place
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5.31Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.0Virginia Tech-1.080.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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6.67American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 49.0% | 26.5% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 16.0% | 25.4% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 26.9% | 14.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 15.1% | 19.2% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 49.6% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 26.9% | 14.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 9.0% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 15.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 10.1% | 82.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.