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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.68vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.61+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.06+1.18vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.40-0.65vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.54-1.42vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.07-3.32vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14-1.56vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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2.07Hampton University0.610.4%1st Place
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4.18University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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3.35William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.58Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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2.68Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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5.44Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.7American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 25.2% | 25.5% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 40.8% | 28.8% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 7.2% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 32.6% | 16.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 13.3% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 22.3% | 19.2% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 10.8% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 25.2% | 25.5% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 53.9% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 11.2% | 82.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.