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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.66vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.40+1.31vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.54+0.53vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61-1.88vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.06-0.77vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.14-0.54vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.07-4.34vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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3.31William and Mary-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.53Christopher Newport University-0.540.1%1st Place
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2.12Hampton University0.610.4%1st Place
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4.23University of Maryland-1.060.1%1st Place
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5.46Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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2.66Virginia Tech0.070.3%1st Place
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6.7American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 26.0% | 24.2% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 14.4% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 6.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 11.8% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 8.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 39.3% | 27.9% | 18.3% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 5.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 31.4% | 17.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 52.0% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 26.0% | 24.2% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 11.3% | 82.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.