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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+4.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+2.63vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+3.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+3.21vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.76+3.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.31vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.63-5.38vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.70+0.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.00vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.32+1.13vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.31-8.48vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.62-0.04vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.92-5.21vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.74-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.24Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.66McGill University0.700.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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15.13Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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15.96Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.79Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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12.08Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 7.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 23.0% | 29.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marguerite Bowen | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 19.1% | 47.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.