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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.56+6.36vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+4.80vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.33+4.49vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.11+0.42vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+1.76vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.43+3.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.05+0.76vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16-1.71vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-3.29vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.55-1.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.74vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.78vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.03-6.32vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.42College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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9.76Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Eichler | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| William Bailey | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% |
| Drew Shea | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| John Renehan | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.4% |
| David Alfonso | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 17.3% |
| Ian Towill | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.