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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.31vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.01+5.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+7.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.62+4.95vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+0.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82-1.01vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.31-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+4.14vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-3.52vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.54vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30-0.59vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-2.18vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74-0.88vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-2.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-5.99vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.70-3.52vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.32-1.56vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.38-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.85Brown University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.64Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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5.48Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.12Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.48McGill University0.700.0%1st Place
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15.44Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.37Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.5% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Genevieve Lau | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 38.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 22.2% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.