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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.66vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+6.69vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+1.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.62+4.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-1.88vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.70+5.36vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.06vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-1.39vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-0.70vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76+1.34vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.44vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.31-6.48vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.74-2.01vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-3.37vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.30-5.60vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.32-1.56vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.38-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.66Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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4.12Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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12.36McGill University0.700.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.61Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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11.99Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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15.44Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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15.35Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.2% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 20.9% | 37.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 21.0% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.