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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.77+4.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+6.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.48+0.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+1.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.04+3.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.88vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.12+4.74vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+0.38vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.56+5.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72-0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57-0.87vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.03+0.45vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.10-1.27vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.60-4.42vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-4.24vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.84-7.04vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.31-3.56vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.11-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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3.6Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.24Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.11Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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14.2Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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12.45Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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11.73Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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8.96Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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13.44McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Rhode Island0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 20.9% | 21.7% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Laura Slovensky | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 27.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Greta Traver | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 21.0% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.