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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.60+9.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+1.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.84+6.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+4.61vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.83+0.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.04+2.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.16vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77-2.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.95-0.56vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57-0.89vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.36-0.88vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.03-1.08vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.10-2.44vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.12-3.27vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.31-2.57vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.11-5.10vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.56-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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3.64Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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5.32Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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11.92Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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11.56Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.43McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Rhode Island0.110.0%1st Place
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14.01Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 19.4% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Greta Traver | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 20.4% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.