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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+4.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.44vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+2.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+2.85vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+2.41vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+0.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.18+3.29vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.54+3.09vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.73+1.21vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65+3.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+1.15vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.48vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-6.78vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-4.48vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.16-3.35vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-6.93vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.13-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Georgetown University2.2011.2%1st Place
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4.44Yale University2.5516.6%1st Place
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5.84Tulane University2.0211.2%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University1.978.2%1st Place
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7.41College of Charleston1.816.7%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.999.0%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy1.182.7%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University0.542.9%1st Place
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10.21Clemson University0.733.5%1st Place
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13.59Christopher Newport University0.651.6%1st Place
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12.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.6%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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7.22Jacksonville University-1.387.6%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University0.933.2%1st Place
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12.65Northwestern University0.161.8%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.223.9%1st Place
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14.41Rollins College-0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 21.6% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Emily Allen | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Grace Bray | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Julia Scott | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.