← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.18+7.74vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.95+4.01vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.09vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston4.11+1.62vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.92+1.10vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.95vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.16+2.13vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.50-0.36vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.56-1.32vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.55-2.55vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.03-1.27vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.33-3.58vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.62vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.05-4.21vs Predicted
-
15University of Minnesota1.77-1.14vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.55-4.48vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami2.43-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.01Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
5.62College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
-
6.1Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
-
9.13Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
7.64Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.68Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.45Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
-
9.73Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
8.42Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
12.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
9.79Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
13.86University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
-
11.52University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
11.9University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Renehan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| William Macdonald | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ian Towill | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| Drew Shea | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 38.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% |
| Alex Olt | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.