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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+7.40vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.82+3.77vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.68+3.65vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.94+3.89vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+0.96vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.78vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.72+1.50vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59-2.24vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39-3.26vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.46-0.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.95-6.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-4.43vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.81-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4University of Southern California0.905.1%1st Place
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5.77George Washington University1.8211.9%1st Place
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6.65Cornell University1.688.5%1st Place
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7.89Fordham University1.946.5%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0510.0%1st Place
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6.78SUNY Maritime College1.888.6%1st Place
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7.13Northeastern University1.717.6%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont0.723.5%1st Place
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6.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.598.3%1st Place
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6.74Boston University1.398.5%1st Place
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10.74Princeton University0.462.2%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Naval Academy1.959.8%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.5%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University1.814.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Will Priebe | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.4% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 33.1% |
| Trenton Shaw | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Lars Osell | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.