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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.77+4.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.60+8.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+2.40vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.31+9.14vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.48-1.50vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.10+5.85vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.04+1.08vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+1.36vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.36+1.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.84-0.83vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-2.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.86vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.95-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.11-2.51vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-5.05vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.12-4.13vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.03-4.79vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.56-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.11Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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5.4Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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13.14McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.5Yale University2.480.3%1st Place
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11.85Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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9.36Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University0.840.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island0.110.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.21Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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14.03Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 17.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 25.7% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| Grace Ivancich | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Greta Traver | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.