← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College1.77+4.68vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+5.02vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.84+6.11vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.48-0.45vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.83+0.26vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.04+2.08vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.57+2.97vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.95+0.38vs Predicted
-
9McGill University-0.31+4.33vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University0.10+2.05vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.72-1.45vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.11+0.11vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College0.60-3.27vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.03-2.26vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-6.33vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.36-5.12vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University0.12-5.11vs Predicted
-
18Bates College-0.56-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.68Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
-
7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
-
9.11Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
-
3.55Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
-
5.26Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
8.08Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
-
9.97University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
8.38Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
-
13.33McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
12.05Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
9.55Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
12.11University of Rhode Island0.110.0%1st Place
-
9.73Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
-
11.74Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
-
10.88Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
11.89Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
14.02Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 23.7% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 13.1% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Greta Traver | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.