← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+6.10vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.48+1.63vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.84+6.12vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.77+1.46vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.72+4.34vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.83-0.64vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.11+4.75vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.31+5.20vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.11+2.80vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.36+1.08vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University0.10+0.94vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University0.95-3.17vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.04-5.02vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.57-4.31vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College0.60-5.23vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-7.24vs Predicted
-
17Bates College-0.56-2.76vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University0.03-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
-
3.63Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
-
9.12Tufts University0.840.0%1st Place
-
5.46Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
-
9.34Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.36Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
11.75Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
-
13.2McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
11.8University of Rhode Island0.110.0%1st Place
-
11.08Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
11.94Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
-
8.83Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.98Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
-
9.69University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.77Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
-
8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
-
14.24Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.94Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Slovensky | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 19.9% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 19.3% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 30.3% |
| Greta Traver | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.