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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.84+8.06vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.11+10.09vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.48+0.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.10+7.69vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.95+3.46vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77-0.50vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.60+2.83vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.57+1.88vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.83-3.74vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-0.98vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.11+0.84vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.85vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36-2.31vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.04-6.04vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.56-0.83vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-6.53vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.31-3.61vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.03-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Tufts University0.840.1%1st Place
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12.09University of Rhode Island0.110.0%1st Place
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3.62Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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11.69Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.83Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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5.26Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.96Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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14.17Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.47Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.39McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.9Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maisie MacGillivray | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Leah O'Sullivan Rickard | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 21.1% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Greta Shuster | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 28.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 21.3% |
| Greta Traver | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.