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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.58vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.41+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+1.21vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79-0.81vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-0.43vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.34-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.65North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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4.21University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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3.19Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.57Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.81The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 61.8% | 24.0% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Wheary | 8.1% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 14.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 25.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.6% | 22.4% | 23.6% | 21.9% | 14.1% | 5.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 39.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.1% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 21.5% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.