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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+2.19vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.41+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+1.27vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34-0.21vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.36-3.37vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.66North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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4.27University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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3.79The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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1.63College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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4.47Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 12.8% | 23.7% | 23.6% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 7.7% |
| William Wheary | 9.2% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 14.5% |
| Noah Jost | 5.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 28.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.5% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 22.9% | 20.7% | 15.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 59.4% | 24.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.2% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.