← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.94+7.01vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.39+4.77vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.72+6.36vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.02vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.76vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+0.69vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.81+1.10vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy1.95-2.15vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.68-2.31vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.82-4.09vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.71-3.98vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California0.90-3.53vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University0.46-2.25vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.01Fordham University1.945.9%1st Place
-
6.77Boston University1.398.1%1st Place
-
9.36University of Vermont0.724.0%1st Place
-
6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0510.4%1st Place
-
6.76SUNY Maritime College1.887.7%1st Place
-
6.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.597.6%1st Place
-
8.1Old Dominion University1.815.8%1st Place
-
5.85U. S. Naval Academy1.9512.2%1st Place
-
6.69Cornell University1.687.8%1st Place
-
5.91George Washington University1.8210.3%1st Place
-
7.02Northeastern University1.718.1%1st Place
-
8.47University of Southern California0.905.5%1st Place
-
10.75Princeton University0.461.8%1st Place
-
8.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lobaugh | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 16.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
| Trenton Shaw | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Will Priebe | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 33.5% |
| Lars Osell | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.