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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+4.31vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.33+6.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+6.56vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+2.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.55+6.30vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.28vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-0.95vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55-0.60vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+0.21vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.43+1.80vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-2.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-4.48vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-3.25vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.50-6.15vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.16-5.90vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.63vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31College of Charleston4.110.2%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.56Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.4Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.85Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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14.03University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 15.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Drew Shea | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| William Bailey | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% |
| David Alfonso | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| William Macdonald | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| John Renehan | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Alex Olt | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 12.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ian Towill | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 15.8% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.