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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.60vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+1.23vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.41-0.32vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34-1.11vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.13Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.23University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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3.68North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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3.89The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.46Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 60.5% | 24.8% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.9% | 26.8% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 6.5% |
| Noah Jost | 5.9% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 25.5% | 25.7% |
| William Wheary | 9.0% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 22.0% | 19.8% | 13.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.2% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.5% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.