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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.57vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.41+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+1.22vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+0.46vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-1.69vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.34-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.63North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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4.22University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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4.46Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.31Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.81The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 62.3% | 24.2% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Wheary | 8.1% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 14.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.4% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 27.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 34.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.4% | 22.5% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.1% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 22.6% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.