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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.59vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.13vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.41+0.66vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+0.48vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.00-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.13Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.66North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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4.48Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.9The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.25University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 61.5% | 23.8% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.9% | 26.0% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| William Wheary | 9.0% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 11.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 21.9% | 34.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.8% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 23.0% | 20.2% | 18.2% |
| Noah Jost | 5.4% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 22.0% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.