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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.00+2.23vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+0.16vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34-0.20vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-0.44vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.41-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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4.23University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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3.16Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.8The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.56Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.7North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 63.6% | 22.6% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 4.4% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 27.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.8% | 23.9% | 23.2% | 20.7% | 13.1% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.9% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 14.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 38.4% |
| William Wheary | 7.9% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.