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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.79+2.20vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+1.22vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.36-2.46vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34-1.12vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.41-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.45Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.22University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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1.54College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.88The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 11.8% | 25.0% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 8.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.3% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 35.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.1% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 27.1% | 24.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 62.7% | 24.7% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.3% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| William Wheary | 7.8% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 23.6% | 19.4% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.