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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.60vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.14vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+1.45vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.41-0.31vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.00-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.14Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.45Duke University-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.69North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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3.88The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.24University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 60.6% | 24.8% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.7% | 26.6% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 6.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 34.1% |
| William Wheary | 8.8% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 13.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.1% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| Noah Jost | 5.3% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.