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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.57vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.18+2.42vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.00+0.24vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.41-1.20vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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4.42Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.76The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.24University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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3.8North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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3.2Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 62.4% | 24.3% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.9% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 34.7% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.7% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| Noah Jost | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 24.7% | 26.1% |
| William Wheary | 7.0% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 21.2% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.3% | 22.8% | 24.6% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.