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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.59vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+1.21vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34-0.21vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18-0.45vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.41-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.15Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.21University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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3.79The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.55Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.71North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 61.6% | 23.8% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.0% | 24.9% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Noah Jost | 6.1% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 24.6% | 25.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.8% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 15.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 38.4% |
| William Wheary | 7.9% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 20.7% | 20.8% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.