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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.58vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.41+1.66vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.34+0.76vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.00-0.65vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.66North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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3.76The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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4.46Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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4.35University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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3.19Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 61.8% | 24.0% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Wheary | 8.1% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 8.4% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 14.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.7% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 34.4% |
| Noah Jost | 4.4% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 21.7% | 30.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.6% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.