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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+0.56vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.34+1.73vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.79+0.17vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+0.46vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.41-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.00-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56College of Charleston2.360.6%1st Place
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3.73The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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3.17Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.46Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.79North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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4.28University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 63.1% | 23.2% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.1% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 14.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 12.4% | 24.0% | 23.0% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 5.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 22.2% | 34.2% |
| William Wheary | 7.1% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 19.3% | 16.9% |
| Noah Jost | 5.5% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 23.8% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.