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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.81vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.55+9.39vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+6.55vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56+3.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+3.51vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+0.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05+2.56vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.11-2.51vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.55-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.43+1.81vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-3.03vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.33-3.55vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-3.79vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.95-7.81vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.77-1.11vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.18-6.95vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.55Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.56Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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5.49College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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11.81University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 7.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 10.1% |
| Ian Towill | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Drew Shea | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alex Olt | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 11.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| William Macdonald | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 39.4% |
| John Renehan | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.