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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.81+7.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.95+3.96vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+3.77vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.46+6.85vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.59+1.59vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+0.80vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+0.25vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.94-0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.90-0.68vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.68-3.41vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-5.01vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.82-6.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.72-3.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Old Dominion University1.815.8%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy1.959.4%1st Place
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6.77SUNY Maritime College1.887.9%1st Place
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10.85Princeton University0.462.1%1st Place
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6.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.599.2%1st Place
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6.8Boston University1.398.2%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University1.717.1%1st Place
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7.93Fordham University1.945.8%1st Place
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8.32University of Southern California0.905.1%1st Place
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6.59Cornell University1.688.4%1st Place
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5.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0511.3%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University1.8211.4%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont0.723.2%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.225.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Trenton Shaw | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 34.7% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Will Priebe | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.2% |
| Lars Osell | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.