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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.32+2.53vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.64+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.86-0.70vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.62-1.27vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.08+0.73vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.48-1.09vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.61-4.21vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-2.39-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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3.79Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
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3.3University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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3.73Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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6.73Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.91Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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3.79Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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8.72Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| Kalea Woodard | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Vieira | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 20.5% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.7% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Julia Scott | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 45.6% | 6.0% |
| Carter Morin | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 24.4% | 24.1% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 17.8% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 5.2% | 89.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.