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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+2.70vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.08+3.76vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62-0.25vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.64-1.28vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.48-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.86-3.63vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.32-3.66vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-2.39-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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4.7University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.76Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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3.75Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.72Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
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5.82Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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4.34University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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8.72Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Julia Scott | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 45.4% | 7.3% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 17.4% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Carter Morin | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 1.7% |
| Steven Hardee | 20.3% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.