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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+2.70vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.08+3.75vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.64-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.32-1.68vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.61-3.17vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.48-2.16vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-2.39-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Jacksonville University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.7University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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6.75Rollins College-0.080.0%1st Place
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3.71Eckerd College1.640.2%1st Place
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3.31University of Miami1.860.2%1st Place
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4.32University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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3.83Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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5.84Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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8.73Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 17.3% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
| Julia Scott | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 18.7% | 44.1% | 7.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 16.0% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 22.5% | 21.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.6% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Carter Morin | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 24.7% | 24.3% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.