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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.06vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69-0.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.12+0.39vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.48vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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1.72Cornell University2.690.6%1st Place
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3.39Fordham University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.18SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 14.9% | 23.7% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 4.9% |
| Bridget Green | 55.6% | 25.1% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Keller | 11.3% | 17.9% | 21.5% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 5.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 12.5% | 22.0% | 25.9% | 22.3% | 14.3% | 3.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 32.3% | 28.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 21.5% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.