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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+0.74vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.42vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.12-0.57vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.37+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Cornell University2.690.5%1st Place
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3.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.43Fordham University1.120.1%1st Place
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5.2SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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3.08University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 53.5% | 26.9% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 13.5% | 23.2% | 22.8% | 21.9% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 32.5% | 26.4% |
| Rebecca Keller | 10.9% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 25.7% | 17.9% | 6.7% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 20.7% | 59.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.7% | 20.9% | 25.1% | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.