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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+0.74vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.12+1.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.96vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.37+0.21vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Cornell University2.690.5%1st Place
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3.4Fordham University1.120.1%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.21SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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3.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 52.9% | 27.7% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Keller | 10.8% | 19.0% | 22.1% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 7.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 33.2% | 26.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.6% | 22.3% | 24.7% | 23.3% | 12.8% | 2.3% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 1.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 20.6% | 60.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 14.1% | 19.0% | 23.7% | 25.2% | 14.2% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.