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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+0.74vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.12+1.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.97vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.74vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Cornell University2.690.5%1st Place
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3.38Fordham University1.120.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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3.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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5.17SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 53.2% | 27.7% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Keller | 11.0% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 6.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 33.6% | 25.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 15.4% | 21.7% | 25.6% | 22.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 12.2% | 21.1% | 21.5% | 24.7% | 14.7% | 5.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 19.4% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.