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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.12+2.40vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69-0.29vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.95vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.77vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Fordham University1.120.1%1st Place
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1.71Cornell University2.690.6%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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3.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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5.17SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Keller | 11.1% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 23.4% | 18.1% | 6.8% |
| Bridget Green | 55.2% | 27.2% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 33.6% | 25.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 13.3% | 23.7% | 25.1% | 23.7% | 10.9% | 3.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 12.9% | 21.2% | 22.8% | 22.1% | 14.7% | 6.3% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 20.9% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.