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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+0.74vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.41vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.12-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.83vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Cornell University2.690.5%1st Place
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3.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.39Fordham University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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5.18SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 53.1% | 28.2% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 13.6% | 23.2% | 24.9% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 4.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 33.2% | 25.5% |
| Rebecca Keller | 11.6% | 16.7% | 22.0% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 5.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 13.7% | 21.5% | 22.8% | 23.6% | 13.0% | 5.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.