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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+1.09vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09+0.39vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.38+2.44vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34+1.47vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.41+0.26vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.18+0.56vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.29-0.25vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.68-0.34vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-2.08+0.38vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.72+0.31vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.60-4.31vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09College of Charleston2.360.4%1st Place
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2.39College of Charleston2.090.3%1st Place
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5.44Clemson University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.47The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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5.26North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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6.56Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.75Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.66The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.61Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.38University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.720.0%1st Place
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7.69University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.39College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 40.1% | 31.3% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 32.0% | 30.2% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Adams | 4.2% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Wheary | 5.8% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Annika Kaelin | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Robert Gates | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 31.1% | 27.3% | 8.5% |
| Julia Morash | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 18.9% | 42.3% | 20.4% |
| May Proctor | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 17.6% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.