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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.36+1.11vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09+0.41vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+3.69vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.29+2.89vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.41+0.26vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60+1.51vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.34-1.59vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.68-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.60-1.39vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.38-4.66vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.08-0.63vs Predicted
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12College of Coastal Georgia-3.72+0.36vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.72-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11College of Charleston2.360.4%1st Place
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2.41College of Charleston2.090.3%1st Place
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6.69Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.89Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.26North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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7.51Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.41The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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7.64The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.61University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.34Clemson University0.380.1%1st Place
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10.37University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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12.36College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
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11.4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 38.9% | 31.9% | 16.5% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 31.2% | 29.6% | 20.5% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.8% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| William Wheary | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Kaelin | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| May Proctor | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Adams | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gates | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 13.5% | 30.0% | 25.7% | 8.2% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 7.2% | 19.4% | 67.5% |
| Julia Morash | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 17.8% | 42.5% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.