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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+7.53vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.03+7.53vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.98vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+2.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.91vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+0.38vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+0.81vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.11-2.52vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.55-1.26vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.33-1.70vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.43-0.18vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-3.77vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.55-2.39vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-7.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.68vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota1.77-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.16Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.48College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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7.74Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.3Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.68Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.82University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Liberty | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ian Towill | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| John Renehan | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| William Macdonald | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| William Bailey | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Drew Shea | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Alex Olt | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 13.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 15.9% |
| Natalie Sinn | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.