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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+1.14vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.05+1.71vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+3.49vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.29+2.78vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60+2.38vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.38-0.90vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.41-1.99vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.34-2.79vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.68-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.60-2.58vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.08-0.67vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.72-0.61vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
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3.71College of Charleston1.050.2%1st Place
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6.49Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.78Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.38Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.1Clemson University0.380.1%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.21The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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7.68The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.42University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.33University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.720.0%1st Place
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12.36College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 44.1% | 24.2% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 16.2% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Annika Kaelin | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Adams | 7.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Wheary | 8.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 6.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| May Proctor | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 31.6% | 24.9% | 8.0% |
| Julia Morash | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 15.2% | 44.2% | 23.5% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 20.1% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.