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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.05+2.76vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09+0.11vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+3.52vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60+3.50vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.41+0.03vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.34-0.83vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.38-1.87vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.68-0.44vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.60-1.52vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.29-3.32vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.08-0.68vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.72-0.64vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76College of Charleston1.050.2%1st Place
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2.11College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
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6.52Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.03North Carolina State University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.17The Citadel0.340.1%1st Place
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5.13Clemson University0.380.1%1st Place
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7.56The Citadel-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.48University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.68Clemson University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.32University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.720.0%1st Place
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12.37College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Beaulieu | 15.1% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 43.7% | 27.8% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Annika Kaelin | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| William Wheary | 7.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Adams | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| May Proctor | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gates | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 31.5% | 24.6% | 8.1% |
| Julia Morash | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 14.9% | 43.2% | 23.7% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 20.4% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.