Race 1B

ashley-river

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dillon Garcia 53.0% 29.8% 11.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Allen 23.2% 33.6% 22.0% 13.0% 5.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rowan Barnes 8.3% 9.3% 19.9% 16.4% 17.9% 15.5% 8.4% 2.8% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 4.7% 11.4% 18.0% 20.1% 18.6% 13.4% 8.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Zohar Almani 2.3% 3.4% 5.8% 10.0% 11.0% 14.5% 19.8% 15.0% 11.6% 5.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Liam Holder 1.3% 1.4% 2.4% 4.4% 6.4% 9.2% 12.6% 18.7% 22.5% 15.3% 5.3% 0.5%
Hailey Hathaway 1.4% 1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 5.1% 8.3% 10.4% 17.7% 24.1% 16.1% 7.3% 1.3%
Camden Hom 2.2% 4.7% 7.1% 11.4% 13.5% 14.6% 15.9% 17.0% 9.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Samantha Bialek 3.0% 4.2% 9.2% 12.4% 16.4% 17.3% 16.2% 12.7% 6.3% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Williams 0.2% 0.5% 1.2% 2.8% 3.0% 2.6% 4.6% 8.9% 15.2% 33.4% 21.8% 5.8%
Andrew Shaz 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 2.3% 8.2% 20.5% 65.1%
John Kelly 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 2.1% 3.0% 5.7% 15.2% 43.4% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.